File:solar-land-requirements.png: Difference between revisions

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Conversion script moved page File:Solar-land-requirements.png to File:solar-land-requirements.png: Converting page titles to lowercase
(World map: If all energy came from solar panels, how much land would we need? The land is shown in white. We would need approximately 0.8% of Earth's surface. <small>Just for comparison, crop land is about 2.9% of Earth's surface, and pasture land is about 5.4% of Earth's surface.</small> ==Methodology== Land required for solar panels, if * all energy came from solar photovoltaics, and * everyone on Earth lived a "first-world" lifestyle. Map projection: equirectangular Not counted in...)
 
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==Methodology==
==Methodology==


Land required for solar panels, if
Area required for solar panels, if
* all energy came from solar photovoltaics, and
* all energy came from solar photovoltaics, and
* everyone on Earth lived a "first-world" lifestyle.
* everyone on Earth lived a "first-world" lifestyle.


Map projection: equirectangular
Map projection: equirectangular
Not counted in this map: The land that would be needed for {{p2|extracting the minerals|you can [[Talk:minerals|help calculate this]] - analyze your favorite battery chemistry and solar panel chemistry}} needed to make both the solar panels and [[energy storage]].


{{dp
{{dp
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|<nowiki>20%</nowiki>
|<nowiki>20%</nowiki>
|<nowiki>How much of the land is suitable for placing solar panels</nowiki>
|<nowiki>How much of the land is suitable for placing solar panels</nowiki>
|<nowiki>We're trying to keep the solar panels as close to humans as possible - including on city land. But cities have limited space to put solar panels - in general, rooftops are the way to go. An educated guess says that rooftops are about 20% of city land. 20% is also a good compromise outside the city - you don't want to block out all the sun in the ecosystems.</nowiki><br /><nowiki>
|<nowiki>We're trying to keep the solar panels as close to humans as possible - including on city land. But cities have limited space to put solar panels - in general, rooftops are the way to go. An educated guess says that rooftops are about 20% of city land. 20% is also a good compromise outside the city - you don't want to block out all the sun in the ecosystems.</nowiki>
}}
}}


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  # load files
  # load files
  pop << data/population.data-float64-8640x4320
  pop << data/[[:File:population.data-float64-8640x4320|population.data-float64-8640x4320]]
  earth << data/blue-marble-posterized.png
  earth << data/[[:File:blue-marble-posterized.png|blue-marble-posterized.png]]
   
   
  # convert 'pop' to population density (people per km^2)
  # convert 'pop' to population density (people per km^2)
  pop @@ quantity_to_density
  pop @@ quantity_to_density
 
  # resize 'pop' to fit the 'earth' background
  # resize 'pop' to fit the 'earth' background
  pop :: earth.r
  pop :: earth.r
 
  # make 'pop' represent "for each pixel, what fraction of the land is solar land"
  # make 'pop' represent "for each pixel, what fraction of the land is solar land"
  pop *= 0.00053790025 # km^2 per person needed for solar           
  pop *= 0.00053790026 # km^2 per person needed for solar           
  pop @@ spread
  pop @@ spread
 
  # darken the background
  # darken the background
  earth.r *= 0.5
  earth.r *= 0.5
  earth.g *= 0.5
  earth.g *= 0.5
  earth.b *= 0.5
  earth.b *= 0.5
 
  # show the solar land in white
  # show the solar land in white
  earth.r += pop
  earth.r += pop
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  earth.g <= 1
  earth.g <= 1
  earth.b <= 1
  earth.b <= 1
 
  # save
  # save
  earth >> data/solar-land-requirements.png
  earth >> data/solar-land-requirements.png
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From the "stats" output from the last line:
From the "stats" output from the last line:
  Sum: 4293152.303951
  Sum: 4293152.303951
This means there is 8575041 km^2 of solar land.
This means there is 4293152 km^2 of solar land.


Divide this by the Earth's surface (510072000 km^2), and you get '''0.8%'''.
Divide this by the Earth's surface (510072000 km^2), and you get '''0.8%'''.


==Would your city need [[solar farms]]?==
==Would your city need [[solar farms]]?==
{{calc|
{{calc
|solar_land_per_capita
|1 / solar_land_per_capita
|people per km^2
|people per km^2
}}
}}


Simple heuristic:
Simple heuristic:
* If your city's ''population density'' is greater than the number above, then yes.
* If your city's ''population density'' is greater than this number above, then yes.
* Otherwise, all energy could be generated within the city (rooftops, probably).
* Otherwise, all energy could be generated within the city (rooftops, probably).


But this is a gross oversimplification.<br />
But this is an oversimplification. Some things to consider:
Some things to consider:
* Every city defines its borders differently - this could bias the official stats of "population density".
* Every city defines its borders differently - this could bias the official stats of "population density".
* If [[factories]] are in some industrial area outside the city, their solar panels could be there instead.
* If [[factories]] are in some industrial area outside the city, their solar panels could be there instead.
* And also...
* Other factors, shown in the next section:
 


==Limitations of this analysis==
==Limitations of this analysis==
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If we want something really accurate, we might have to analyze things on a city-by-city basis.
If we want something really accurate, we might have to analyze things on a city-by-city basis.
Not counted in this map: The land that would be needed for {{p2|extracting the minerals|you can [[Talk:minerals|help calculate this]] - analyze your favorite battery chemistry and solar panel chemistry}} needed to make both the solar panels and [[energy storage]].