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Energy demand scenarios: Difference between revisions

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[[File:energy-demand-developed.png]]
[[File:energy-demand-developed.png]]


==Methodologies==
==Methodology - general==
First we define the scale (X axis) (same for every bar graph):
First we define the scale (X axis) (same for every bar graph):
: 1 pixel ≡ 24 Mtoe/year
: 1 pixel ≡ 24 Mtoe/year
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Source (1) has general stats about worldwide total final energy consumption (TFC), and what share of that is used in industry and transport.<br />
Source (1) has general stats about worldwide total final energy consumption (TFC), and what share of that is used in industry and transport.<br />
Source (2) has more detailed breakdowns for energy usage types, but they are only based on a handful of countries - mostly developed countries {{x|Australia, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, New Zealand, Spain, the United Kingdom and the United States.}}.<br />
Source (2) has more detailed breakdowns for energy usage types, but they are only based on a handful of countries - mostly developed countries {{x|Australia, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, New Zealand, Spain, the United Kingdom and the United States.}}.
 
We use these together, to estimate how energy is used globally.
We use these together, to estimate how energy is used globally.
{{dp
{{dp
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{{calc
{{calc
|passenger_road_transport.stfc / transport.stfc * transport.energy
|passenger_road_transport.stfc / transport.stfc * transport.energy
|px |rp
|px |pr
}}
}}


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{{calc
{{calc
|freight_road_transport.stfc / transport.stfc * transport.energy
|freight_road_transport.stfc / transport.stfc * transport.energy
|px |rf
|px |fr
}}
}}


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}}
}}


'''Total final consumption'''
{{calc
|rh + ro + cp + pr + fr + aw + industry.energy + non_energy_use
|Mtoe/year
}}




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'''Transport''' - scaled
'''Transport''' - scaled
{{calc
{{calc
|rf * scale_up
|pr * scale_up
|px
|px
}}
}}
{{calc
{{calc
|rp * scale_up
|fr * scale_up
|px
|px
}}
}}
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}}
}}


'''Total final consumption'''
{{calc
|rh + ro*scale_up + 50% cp + 50% cp*scale_up + pr*scale_up + fr*scale_up + aw*scale_up + industry.energy*scale_up + non_energy_use*scale_up
|Mtoe/year
}}




==Minimum==
==Minimum==
This bar graph has not been made yet. It will be based on the [[minimal consumption scenario]].
This bar graph has not been made yet. It will be based on the [[minimal consumption scenario]].